NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU SH
Points 71.7 69.3
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.5 11.7
Shooting CCSU SH
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 58.2
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 16.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 70.0%
Ball Control CCSU SH
Rebounds 37.8 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.5
Turnovers 11.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.7
Steals 6.3 7.5
Fouls 12.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU SH
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.7
% of Possessions with CCSU SH
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 23.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 17.4%
Turnover 16.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU SH
Shot Blocked 8.3% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 21.2%