NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU RUTG
Points 59.6 67.6
Total Points   127.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.4 13.3
Shooting CCSU RUTG
Field Goals Made 20.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 60.6
Field Goal % 37.1% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 67.7%
Ball Control CCSU RUTG
Rebounds 35.6 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.3
Turnovers 13.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.9
Steals 6.4 7.4
Fouls 13.2 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU RUTG
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 72.4
% of Possessions with CCSU RUTG
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 19.0%
Turnover 19.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU RUTG
Shot Blocked 9.9% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 31.1%