NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU
Points 67.4 59.3
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 21.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 10.5
Shooting CCSU
Field Goals Made 24.0 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 56.9
Field Goal % 43.9% 36.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 35.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 13.7 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 15.3
Free Throw % 71.4% 68.9%
Ball Control CCSU
Rebounds 36.2 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.7
Turnovers 10.7 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 12.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 66.6
% of Possessions with CCSU
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 18.2%
Turnover 15.7% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 28.0%