NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUKE CLEM
Points 73.0 72.7
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 19.8
Points From Free Throws 15.0 12.8
Shooting DUKE CLEM
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 15.0 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 16.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.8%
Ball Control DUKE CLEM
Rebounds 34.4 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.6
Turnovers 7.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.2
Steals 5.5 3.6
Fouls 14.0 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUKE CLEM
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 66.8
% of Possessions with DUKE CLEM
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.5%
Turnover 11.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUKE CLEM
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.5%