NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU UNH
Points 72.7 70.4
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 26.2
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.3
Shooting CCSU UNH
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 59.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 16.1
Free Throw % 71.4% 76.0%
Ball Control CCSU UNH
Rebounds 36.6 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.6
Turnovers 10.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 1.8
Steals 7.7 6.3
Fouls 12.9 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU UNH
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.5
% of Possessions with CCSU UNH
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 31.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.9%
Turnover 14.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU UNH
Shot Blocked 3.1% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 20.8%