NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUKE GT
Points 79.2 68.7
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 20.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.0
Shooting DUKE GT
Field Goals Made 27.6 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 58.8
Field Goal % 44.9% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 14.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.6%
Ball Control DUKE GT
Rebounds 36.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.7
Turnovers 6.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.5
Steals 6.3 3.3
Fouls 13.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUKE GT
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 68.1
% of Possessions with DUKE GT
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.4%
Turnover 9.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUKE GT
Shot Blocked 7.9% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 27.6%