NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL MONM
Points 71.2 71.0
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 19.2
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.0
Shooting DEL MONM
Field Goals Made 25.0 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 61.3
Field Goal % 44.5% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 16.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 71.6%
Ball Control DEL MONM
Rebounds 36.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.7
Turnovers 10.5 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.4
Steals 4.3 6.7
Fouls 12.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL MONM
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 71.4
% of Possessions with DEL MONM
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.5%
Turnover 15.2% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL MONM
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 28.5%