NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL HOF
Points 65.0 72.1
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 25.4
Points From Free Throws 11.3 8.8
Shooting DEL HOF
Field Goals Made 23.1 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.3
Field Goal % 41.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 12.1
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.2%
Ball Control DEL HOF
Rebounds 34.1 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 6.4
Turnovers 10.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 4.5 6.2
Fouls 12.0 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL HOF
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 65.5
% of Possessions with DEL HOF
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 33.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.8%
Turnover 16.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL HOF
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 19.7%