NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL SFPA
Points 76.0 62.6
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 17.4
Points From Free Throws 15.1 9.5
Shooting DEL SFPA
Field Goals Made 27.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 57.8
Field Goal % 50.4% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 15.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 60.1%
Ball Control DEL SFPA
Rebounds 36.1 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.1
Turnovers 9.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.4
Steals 5.0 5.4
Fouls 12.7 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Fran (PA)

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL SFPA
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 67.5
% of Possessions with DEL SFPA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 23.5%
Player Fouled 23.6% 18.7%
Turnover 14.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL SFPA
Shot Blocked 7.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 26.9%