NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL VILL
Points 62.3 73.6
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 26.1
Points From Free Throws 9.3 11.9
Shooting DEL VILL
Field Goals Made 23.0 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 9.3 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 14.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 79.7%
Ball Control DEL VILL
Rebounds 31.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 6.9
Turnovers 9.7 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.4
Steals 4.3 5.7
Fouls 12.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL VILL
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 66.3
% of Possessions with DEL VILL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 35.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 18.2%
Turnover 14.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL VILL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 21.2%