NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE CHSO
Points 70.1 66.9
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.0
Shooting PRE CHSO
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 54.8
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.0
Free Throw % 66.0% 69.7%
Ball Control PRE CHSO
Rebounds 34.7 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.8
Turnovers 8.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 6.2 3.6
Fouls 14.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE CHSO
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 67.2
% of Possessions with PRE CHSO
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.2%
Turnover 12.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.3%