NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE WIN
Points 71.3 75.9
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 19.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 22.5
Shooting PRE WIN
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 47.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 22.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 32.5
Free Throw % 66.0% 69.3%
Ball Control PRE WIN
Rebounds 31.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.5
Turnovers 11.6 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.8
Steals 6.8 5.4
Fouls 21.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE WIN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 67.5
% of Possessions with PRE WIN
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 21.9%
Player Fouled 24.2% 30.2%
Turnover 16.2% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE WIN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 28.1%