NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE MORE
Points 63.6 76.7
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 26.6
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.3
Shooting PRE MORE
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 53.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 19.5
Free Throw % 66.0% 73.2%
Ball Control PRE MORE
Rebounds 28.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.0
Turnovers 9.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.7
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 14.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE MORE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 65.7
% of Possessions with PRE MORE
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 28.7%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.6%
Turnover 14.0% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE MORE
Shot Blocked 8.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 30.6%