NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE CAMP
Points 74.4 72.3
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 21.1
Points From Free Throws 10.2 16.1
Shooting PRE CAMP
Field Goals Made 28.1 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 51.1
Field Goal % 48.0% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 10.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 22.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 71.6%
Ball Control PRE CAMP
Rebounds 32.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.0
Turnovers 10.5 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.1
Steals 6.9 5.6
Fouls 17.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE CAMP
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 64.2
% of Possessions with PRE CAMP
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 23.8%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.4%
Turnover 15.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE CAMP
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 20.1%