NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE LONG
Points 75.0 73.1
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 18.5
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.9
Shooting PRE LONG
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 58.2
Field Goal % 51.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 23.6
Free Throw % 69.0% 71.7%
Ball Control PRE LONG
Rebounds 32.6 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.3
Turnovers 13.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 1.9
Steals 6.3 7.9
Fouls 16.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE LONG
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 72.7
% of Possessions with PRE LONG
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.8% 21.2%
Player Fouled 24.8% 22.4%
Turnover 19.0% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE LONG
Shot Blocked 3.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 33.5%