NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE LONG
Points 74.1 72.0
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 14.9
Points From Free Throws 12.4 19.2
Shooting PRE LONG
Field Goals Made 27.1 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 50.9
Field Goal % 50.3% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.0% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 26.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.7%
Ball Control PRE LONG
Rebounds 29.9 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.2
Turnovers 11.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.7
Steals 6.6 6.7
Fouls 18.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE LONG
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 67.3
% of Possessions with PRE LONG
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 18.7%
Player Fouled 21.8% 26.8%
Turnover 17.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE LONG
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 29.3%