NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE HP
Points 71.5 82.9
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 21.1
Points From Free Throws 16.2 23.6
Shooting PRE HP
Field Goals Made 25.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 53.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 23.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 30.3
Free Throw % 66.0% 77.9%
Ball Control PRE HP
Rebounds 28.3 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.7
Turnovers 9.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.6
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 19.6 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE HP
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 71.9
% of Possessions with PRE HP
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 23.3%
Player Fouled 24.9% 27.3%
Turnover 12.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE HP
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 34.6%