NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE SH
Points 72.4 73.9
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 20.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.4
Shooting PRE SH
Field Goals Made 25.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.2
Field Goal % 44.8% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 22.0
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.0%
Ball Control PRE SH
Rebounds 35.7 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 6.8
Turnovers 12.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.4
Steals 6.3 7.7
Fouls 15.6 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE SH
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.2
% of Possessions with PRE SH
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 21.6%
Player Fouled 23.6% 21.8%
Turnover 17.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE SH
Shot Blocked 10.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 21.2%