NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE HAMP
Points 73.9 69.2
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.6
Shooting PRE HAMP
Field Goals Made 27.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 55.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 21.5
Free Throw % 66.0% 72.7%
Ball Control PRE HAMP
Rebounds 36.2 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.7
Turnovers 9.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 7.1 5.0
Fouls 15.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE HAMP
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 68.5
% of Possessions with PRE HAMP
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.1%
Turnover 13.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE HAMP
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 25.0%