NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE FAMU
Points 72.5 67.9
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 22.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 11.9
Shooting PRE FAMU
Field Goals Made 24.9 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 56.8
Field Goal % 48.6% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.5 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 17.9
Free Throw % 68.4% 66.2%
Ball Control PRE FAMU
Rebounds 36.8 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.3
Turnovers 13.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 14.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE FAMU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 68.1
% of Possessions with PRE FAMU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 24.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.8%
Turnover 19.1% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 26.0%