NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE FAMU
Points 72.9 67.9
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 14.7 13.5
Shooting PRE FAMU
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 53.0
Field Goal % 44.5% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 19.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 71.3%
Ball Control PRE FAMU
Rebounds 36.4 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.0
Turnovers 9.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.8
Steals 6.7 4.8
Fouls 14.6 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE FAMU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 64.6
% of Possessions with PRE FAMU
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.2%
Turnover 13.7% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 24.7%