NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE
Points 68.3 63.0
Total Points   131.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.9
Shooting PRE
Field Goals Made 24.5 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 53.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 40.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 20.2
Free Throw % 66.0% 68.9%
Ball Control PRE
Rebounds 34.4 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.9
Turnovers 11.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.2
Steals 6.3 6.4
Fouls 15.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 65.9
% of Possessions with PRE
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 20.8%
Player Fouled 22.8% 22.8%
Turnover 16.7% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE
Shot Blocked 10.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 27.9%