NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE CLEM
Points 61.1 84.9
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 23.4
Points From Free Throws 12.8 19.1
Shooting PRE CLEM
Field Goals Made 21.0 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 53.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 12.8 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 24.5
Free Throw % 66.0% 77.8%
Ball Control PRE CLEM
Rebounds 27.9 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.7
Turnovers 9.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.3
Steals 5.3 4.9
Fouls 16.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE CLEM
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 68.8
% of Possessions with PRE CLEM
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 24.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.9%
Turnover 14.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE CLEM
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 27.4%