NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE TENN
Points 56.8 86.7
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 25.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 20.4
Shooting PRE TENN
Field Goals Made 18.8 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 56.6
Field Goal % 34.3% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 37.7% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 13.5 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 27.1
Free Throw % 66.0% 75.4%
Ball Control PRE TENN
Rebounds 28.5 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.2
Turnovers 13.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.7 6.1
Steals 5.5 7.8
Fouls 18.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE TENN
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 73.6
% of Possessions with PRE TENN
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 26.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 25.2%
Turnover 18.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE TENN
Shot Blocked 10.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 35.2%