NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU SBON
Points 61.4 75.1
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 19.9
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.5
Shooting MTU SBON
Field Goals Made 20.2 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 58.2
Field Goal % 37.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 18.7
Free Throw % 71.4% 77.3%
Ball Control MTU SBON
Rebounds 33.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.6
Turnovers 12.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.5
Steals 3.4 5.7
Fouls 13.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU SBON
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 69.6
% of Possessions with MTU SBON
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.8%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.5%
Turnover 18.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU SBON
Shot Blocked 7.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 28.8%