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Middle Tenn at Belmont
Sat Dec 10, 2022
5:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
Middle Tenn at Belmont: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 1, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MTU | adv | BEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-20-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 9-6-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-14-0 | 8-11-0 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| BEL -1.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1874 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 1006 times (53.7%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 868 times (46.3%).
- The team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 931-906-37 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1709 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 867-813-29 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 03:46 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:07 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:07 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:11 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:04 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/10 08:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:35 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/09 07:55 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:37 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:14 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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