NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU BEL
Points 65.3 77.5
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 24.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.2
Shooting MTU BEL
Field Goals Made 22.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 59.2
Field Goal % 38.2% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 18.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 73.1%
Ball Control MTU BEL
Rebounds 36.8 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.3
Turnovers 12.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 4.7 6.2
Fouls 14.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU BEL
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 69.7
% of Possessions with MTU BEL
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.5%
Turnover 17.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU BEL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 21.7%