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Middle Tenn at S Mississippi
Sat Jan 16, 2021
5:00pm ET
Hattiesburg, MS
Middle Tenn at S Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Miss by 2.5, Total Points: 127.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MTU | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-20-0 | 11-16-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 8-9-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 9-6-0 | 6-4-2 | |
| Away | 2-14-0 | 5-12-1 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | William Carey | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Akron | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Xavier (LA) | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Utah Valley | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | CS Fullerton | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Dakota St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | UAB | +9.5 | W by 3 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NW State | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Lamar | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Mississippi | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | GA Southern | -4.0 | L by 21 | -25.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Georgia St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | James Mad | +7.5 | W by 10 | +17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | UL Monroe | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Arkansas St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Troy | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arkansas St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas St | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas St | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | S Alabama | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Louisiana | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | S Alabama | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Texas St | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| USM -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2936 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 1712 times (58.3%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 1224 times (41.7%).
- The team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 1475-1420-41 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 185 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 94-84-7 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 04:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 04:41 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 03:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 02:33 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/16 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/16 02:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:00 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/16 09:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/16 09:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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