NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU FIU
Points 71.4 70.1
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 21.2
Points From Free Throws 15.3 10.6
Shooting MTU FIU
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 62.3
Field Goal % 43.8% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 15.3 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 16.2
Free Throw % 71.4% 65.0%
Ball Control MTU FIU
Rebounds 41.0 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.8
Turnovers 16.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.8
Steals 4.5 8.0
Fouls 13.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU FIU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 72.1
% of Possessions with MTU FIU
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 18.0%
Turnover 22.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU FIU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 25.0%