NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU ODU
Points 69.6 69.6
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 18.1
Points From Free Throws 18.2 10.5
Shooting MTU ODU
Field Goals Made 21.3 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 64.1
Field Goal % 38.9% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 18.2 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 16.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 65.9%
Ball Control MTU ODU
Rebounds 41.8 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.5
Turnovers 13.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.9
Steals 4.0 6.4
Fouls 12.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Middle Tenn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU ODU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 73.3
% of Possessions with MTU ODU
2 Point Attempt 33.7% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 22.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 17.1%
Turnover 18.0% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU ODU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 23.5%