NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU FAU
Points 64.6 80.9
Total Points   145.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 45.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 19.3
Points From Free Throws 12.1 16.2
Shooting MTU FAU
Field Goals Made 22.5 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 60.4
Field Goal % 37.7% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.1 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 22.4
Free Throw % 71.4% 72.6%
Ball Control MTU FAU
Rebounds 34.3 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.2
Turnovers 11.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 3.8 6.0
Fouls 15.4 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU FAU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 74.2
% of Possessions with MTU FAU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.5%
Turnover 16.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU FAU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 32.1%