NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTU MURR
Points 64.3 71.0
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 17.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 12.1
Shooting MTU MURR
Field Goals Made 22.0 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 58.2
Field Goal % 41.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 17.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 68.9%
Ball Control MTU MURR
Rebounds 34.0 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.2
Turnovers 12.2 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 3.6 5.2
Fouls 13.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTU MURR
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 68.5
% of Possessions with MTU MURR
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.4%
Turnover 18.1% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTU MURR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 26.5%