NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI SDSU
Points 73.5 68.6
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 16.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 8.9
Shooting CREI SDSU
Field Goals Made 24.9 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 68.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 26.7 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 13.2 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 11.9
Free Throw % 80.2% 74.5%
Ball Control CREI SDSU
Rebounds 38.8 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.4
Turnovers 10.9 6.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 3.2 6.7
Fouls 11.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI SDSU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 75.2
% of Possessions with CREI SDSU
2 Point Attempt 33.5% 60.0%
3 Point Attempt 38.8% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 15.7%
Turnover 15.4% 9.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI SDSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 26.9%