NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI BUT
Points 83.0 70.6
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 20.3
Points From Free Throws 9.5 7.7
Shooting CREI BUT
Field Goals Made 31.6 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 68.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 48.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.8% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 9.5 7.7
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 9.6
Free Throw % 80.8% 80.1%
Ball Control CREI BUT
Rebounds 40.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.0
Turnovers 9.5 7.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.4
Steals 4.1 5.1
Fouls 9.7 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI BUT
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.5
% of Possessions with CREI BUT
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 59.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 23.9%
Player Fouled 16.0% 13.4%
Turnover 13.0% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI BUT
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 19.5%