NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI BYU
Points 79.5 76.2
Total Points   155.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 25.3
Points From Free Throws 13.2 6.9
Shooting CREI BYU
Field Goals Made 28.3 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 70.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 45.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.2 6.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 9.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 72.5%
Ball Control CREI BYU
Rebounds 37.0 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 10.4
Turnovers 9.3 6.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.5
Steals 3.0 4.9
Fouls 9.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI BYU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 76.3
% of Possessions with CREI BYU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 30.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 13.1%
Turnover 12.9% 8.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 4.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI BYU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 25.1%