NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI MARQ
Points 76.1 74.8
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 10.7 6.3
Shooting CREI MARQ
Field Goals Made 26.9 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 68.3
Field Goal % 45.2% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.2 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 6.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 9.1
Free Throw % 80.2% 69.1%
Ball Control CREI MARQ
Rebounds 39.1 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.2
Turnovers 12.0 6.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 3.3 7.1
Fouls 9.3 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI MARQ
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 73.3
% of Possessions with CREI MARQ
2 Point Attempt 33.5% 59.8%
3 Point Attempt 39.8% 24.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 13.0%
Turnover 16.9% 8.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI MARQ
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 21.2%