NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI GTWN
Points 90.1 67.5
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.7 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 20.8
Points From Free Throws 14.3 8.6
Shooting CREI GTWN
Field Goals Made 32.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 67.7
Field Goal % 56.7% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 72.7% 40.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.3 8.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 12.0
Free Throw % 80.8% 72.0%
Ball Control CREI GTWN
Rebounds 38.8 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 19.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.3
Turnovers 9.2 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.4
Steals 3.9 4.6
Fouls 10.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI GTWN
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 74.5
% of Possessions with CREI GTWN
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 57.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 24.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 15.0%
Turnover 13.1% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI GTWN
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 26.3%