NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI TEX
Points 76.9 70.6
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 16.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 7.6
Shooting CREI TEX
Field Goals Made 27.3 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 67.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 7.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 10.0
Free Throw % 80.8% 76.5%
Ball Control CREI TEX
Rebounds 37.9 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 6.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.4
Steals 3.1 5.9
Fouls 9.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI TEX
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 73.5
% of Possessions with CREI TEX
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 63.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 20.1%
Player Fouled 20.1% 14.1%
Turnover 15.1% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI TEX
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.3%