NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI XAV
Points 84.3 70.8
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 16.8
Points From Free Throws 12.6 9.2
Shooting CREI XAV
Field Goals Made 31.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 70.4
Field Goal % 50.3% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 41.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 12.1
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.8%
Ball Control CREI XAV
Rebounds 40.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.6
Turnovers 9.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.7
Steals 3.3 5.7
Fouls 11.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI XAV
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 76.9
% of Possessions with CREI XAV
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 62.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 19.2%
Player Fouled 19.0% 15.1%
Turnover 13.1% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI XAV
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 24.4%