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Creighton at Villanova
Wed Mar 3, 2021
8:30pm ET
Villanova, PA
Creighton at Villanova: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Villanova by 5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CREI | adv | VILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-16-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 8-10-0 |
Creighton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Florida A&M | -36.0 | W by 51 | +15.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Dakota St | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Iowa | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | TX Southern | -31.5 | W by 32 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Loyola-Chi | -19.0 | W by 23 | +4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Colorado St | -9.0 | L by 21 | -30.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Oklahoma St | -8.0 | W by 14 | +6.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Nebraska | -4.0 | W by 29 | +25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Central Mich | -31.0 | W by 45 | +14.0 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | UNLV | -13.5 | L by 15 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Alabama | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Villanova | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Marquette | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Georgetown | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Providence | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | DePaul | -15.5 | W by 26 | +10.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | St Johns | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Connecticut | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Xavier | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | DePaul | -24.0 | W by 23 | -1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | L by 1 | -11.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Providence | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Xavier | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Georgetown | -19.0 | W by 22 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Butler | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Connecticut | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | St Johns | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Seton Hall | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Marquette | -8.0 | W by 14 | +6.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Villanova | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Providence | -8.5 | L by 5 | -13.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Akron | -11.5 | W by 17 | +5.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oregon | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Tennessee | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
Villanova Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | American | -23.0 | W by 27 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -37.5 | W by 26 | -11.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | U Penn | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | St Josephs | -12.5 | L by 13 | -25.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Drexel | -11.0 | L by 2 | -13.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Kansas St | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UCLA | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Creighton | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | DePaul | -10.5 | W by 36 | +25.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Xavier | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Johns | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | DePaul | -19.0 | W by 25 | +6.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Connecticut | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | St Johns | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Butler | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Marquette | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Providence | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Xavier | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Seton Hall | -7.0 | W by 26 | +19.0 |
| 02/16 | Away | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Butler | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Connecticut | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgetown | -15.5 | W by 28 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Providence | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Seton Hall | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Creighton | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 1 | -23.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | VCU | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| VILL -5.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3191 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Villanova won the game 2188 times (68.6%).
- The team like Creighton won the game 1003 times (31.4%).
- The team like Villanova did better against the spread, going 1622-1489-80 (52.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 161 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Creighton did better against the spread, going 81-80 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/03 08:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 07:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 03:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/03 03:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/03 03:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/03 02:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 01:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/03 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/03 01:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/03 01:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/03 12:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/03 11:41 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/03 10:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/03 10:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/03 10:02 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 09:35 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/03 08:45 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/03 08:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/03 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/03 07:29 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:52 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:34 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/02 05:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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