NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI MICH
Points 85.9 68.0
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 18.5
Points From Free Throws 12.3 7.9
Shooting CREI MICH
Field Goals Made 31.7 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 67.3
Field Goal % 51.7% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 61.7% 42.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 7.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 11.1
Free Throw % 80.8% 70.8%
Ball Control CREI MICH
Rebounds 39.1 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.9
Turnovers 8.5 7.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.8
Steals 4.1 3.9
Fouls 10.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI MICH
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 73.6
% of Possessions with CREI MICH
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 59.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 21.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 15.0%
Turnover 12.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI MICH
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.9%