NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO SBON
Points 70.7 75.4
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 23.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.8
Shooting OHIO SBON
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 55.8
Field Goal % 42.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 77.3%
Ball Control OHIO SBON
Rebounds 30.2 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 4.7 5.2
Fouls 14.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO SBON
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 68.6
% of Possessions with OHIO SBON
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 25.0%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.3%
Turnover 14.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO SBON
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 32.0%