NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN RID
Points 75.5 71.7
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 18.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.5
Shooting QUIN RID
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 59.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 19.0
Free Throw % 76.5% 76.3%
Ball Control QUIN RID
Rebounds 38.1 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.5
Turnovers 9.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.4
Steals 7.1 5.6
Fouls 14.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN RID
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 71.3
% of Possessions with QUIN RID
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 20.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 20.2%
Turnover 13.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN RID
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 28.9%