NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN RID
Points 76.6 65.4
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 17.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.8
Shooting QUIN RID
Field Goals Made 28.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 60.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 41.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 17.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 72.9%
Ball Control QUIN RID
Rebounds 40.5 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.4
Turnovers 9.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.2
Steals 6.6 5.7
Fouls 13.3 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN RID
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 70.5
% of Possessions with QUIN RID
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 21.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 19.1%
Turnover 13.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN RID
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 26.6%