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Texas St at Miss State
Mon Nov 30, 2020
8:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Texas St at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 6.5, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TXST | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-1 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 11-10-1 | 11-9-0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -6.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2674 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1954 times (73.1%).
- The team like Texas State won the game 720 times (26.9%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1340-1291-43 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 35 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 20-15 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 07:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:32 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/30 07:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:23 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:31 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:56 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/30 12:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/29 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/29 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/29 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/29 08:17 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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