NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN HC
Points 81.0 67.3
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.7 9.6
Shooting QUIN HC
Field Goals Made 28.9 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 57.4
Field Goal % 46.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 13.7 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 14.5
Free Throw % 76.5% 66.3%
Ball Control QUIN HC
Rebounds 38.3 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.3
Turnovers 7.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 6.5 3.6
Fouls 12.6 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Holy Cross

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN HC
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 66.0
% of Possessions with QUIN HC
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.2%
Turnover 10.2% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN HC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 20.9%