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Ohio at Illinois
Fri Nov 27, 2020
1:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Ohio at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 16, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-0 | 21-14-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-0 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 9-5-0 | 7-9-2 | |
| Away | 8-10-0 | 14-5-1 |
Ohio Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Troy | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Cleveland St | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 19 | +2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Geo Wshgtn | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Brown | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Delaware | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Youngs St | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | L by 5 | -13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Defiance | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Austin Peay | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Davidson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Toledo | -2.0 | L by 9 | -11.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Illinois | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Bowling Grn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Michigan | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Central Mich | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | E Michigan | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Akron | +8.0 | L by 9 | -1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Kent St | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Buffalo | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miami (OH) | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Toledo | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Kent St | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Illinois | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Akron | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Buffalo | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Miami (OH) | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Michigan | -9.0 | W by 27 | +18.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Akron | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| ILL -16.0 | Open | -16.5 | High | -18.0 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -16.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 925 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 867 times (93.7%).
- The team like Ohio won the game 58 times (6.3%).
- The team like Ohio did better against the spread, going 460-453-12 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 15 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 9-6 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -16.0 | -15.5 |
| Open | -16.5 | -17.5 | -16.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/27 12:56 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:47 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:09 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -15.5 |
| 11/27 11:54 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/27 11:29 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:24 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/27 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 11/27 10:50 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/27 10:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/27 09:59 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 11/27 09:34 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
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