NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN MONM
Points 76.3 73.5
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.2 13.8
Shooting QUIN MONM
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 61.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.2
Free Throw % 76.5% 71.6%
Ball Control QUIN MONM
Rebounds 39.6 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 11.6
Turnovers 10.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.2
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 14.2 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN MONM
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 72.9
% of Possessions with QUIN MONM
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.9%
Turnover 15.1% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN MONM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 30.6%