NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXST UTA
Points 67.3 74.0
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 12.5 22.6
Points From Free Throws 18.3 19.0
Shooting TXST UTA
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 52.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 12.7 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 18.3 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 25.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 73.6%
Ball Control TXST UTA
Rebounds 32.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.1
Turnovers 13.4 14.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.9
Steals 7.2 7.3
Fouls 18.6 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXST UTA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 68.8
% of Possessions with TXST UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.0% 26.7%
Player Fouled 25.8% 25.4%
Turnover 18.3% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXST UTA
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 31.1%