NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QUIN SPU
Points 68.7 65.9
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 18.8
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.5
Shooting QUIN SPU
Field Goals Made 23.1 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 56.4
Field Goal % 41.3% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 71.2%
Ball Control QUIN SPU
Rebounds 36.8 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.0
Turnovers 11.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.5
Steals 6.1 6.0
Fouls 16.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QUIN SPU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 70.1
% of Possessions with QUIN SPU
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 21.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.0%
Turnover 17.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QUIN SPU
Shot Blocked 10.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 31.9%