NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OHIO M-OH
Points 72.6 67.5
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 13.0
Shooting OHIO M-OH
Field Goals Made 24.9 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 54.7
Field Goal % 42.8% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 18.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.5%
Ball Control OHIO M-OH
Rebounds 36.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.6
Turnovers 9.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.1
Steals 6.6 4.9
Fouls 15.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OHIO M-OH
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 65.7
% of Possessions with OHIO M-OH
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 26.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 22.0%
Turnover 13.7% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OHIO M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 22.4%