NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MTST PAC
Points 81.7 66.3
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.4 15.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.7
Shooting MTST PAC
Field Goals Made 28.6 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 51.1
Field Goal % 51.0% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.2% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 24.2
Free Throw % 72.4% 65.1%
Ball Control MTST PAC
Rebounds 34.3 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.1
Turnovers 10.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.9
Steals 7.0 5.1
Fouls 19.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MTST PAC
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 65.7
% of Possessions with MTST PAC
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 22.7% 26.7%
Turnover 14.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MTST PAC
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 18.3%